Markets gave nice movement
last week, the price movement was perfectly tuned with the TimeMap of the
markets, while Friday move was expected, but the aggression was definitely a
surprise. On Monday, Flat to slight higher opening would be a very good sign for
the markets. Negative opening would send a major signal that underline sentiment
is bearish and investors are scared at the current levels.
The IPO madness is
reaching to the point of Craziness, which cannot be logically explained. Our
markets are close to the levels, which was termed & warned by Fed
Chair Alan Greenspan about the markets, their irrational
exuberance on December 5, 1996. Then happened the October 1997 crash.
We
would not be surprised to see while there would be success stories but then
there would be far higher number of failures and erosion of wealth.
Technically,
as we have given the prvious week, and there is not change in the view, a minor
rise would attract selling and profit booking.
Moving
the our TimeMap – October 23rd, to November 6th Markets
gave a nice dip, while it was not satisfactory, but even in the current
euphoric we got opportunities to invest in many high momentum stocks, which
gave a nice corrective movement.
We had
covered some part in the last week.
We believe
the Friday movement was a nice pull back and little more cannot be ruled out,
we would recommend to reduce levelraged exposure and wait or opportunies.
As a
stock investor obviously there would be many good quality buys, but one has to
be really clear and firm with view.
What is
clear from the weekly perspective is that Monday and Tuesday in the coming week
are fairly positive days, and fund flows would keep the sentiment in the
markets very positive, on the other hand the Wednesday and Thursday are looking
bearish, and could give big negative surprise, esepcailly the technology or CNX
IT is looking really bad. Overall while things are positive, yet there seems
over ambitious projections and expectations, and time has its own way of
discounting price, and it does unbiased.
Banks
and NBFC or financial stocks showing positive impact, and even if the markets
fall, the impact would be less, and wont be surprise to see the sector in
positive territory.
Planet
aspect of the week – SUN 90 JUPITER, on 16th Morning Tuesday is
positive.
on 17th
early morning SUN 60 PLUTO – is giving big negative day, in the current week 17th
and 19th looking overall very bad or negative days.
Selling
on rise and reducing leveraged or speculative positions is highly recommended.
2 comments:
Let's wait for Wednesday !!!
It works 60% of the time.
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