November 01, to November 06, Weekly TimeMap

 

 

As per basic principles of DOW theory, in the attached chart – strong hands have to protect 17265 and 17368 levels, and many institutional position traders will have MTM adjusted to these 2 levels, breaking of these levels would mean positions will require additional margins, or squared up, which could trigger the cascading effects. My observation generally such levels get defended once or twice. Looking at the current scenario bright chances that the levels would get broken and the probability is high that  16750 would get tested. Currently, there is no sell signal triggered on the weekly charts, so the main trend remains positive, breaking of 17368 will trigger trend reversal on the daily chart, and below 17265 confirmation of the first signal. An increase in volatility would mean markets will move further down, as it would need to get adjusted.  

on the TimeMap – last week 28^th October gave a perfect fall on the charts, which not only disturbed the market sentiment but most algo models went in major drawdown, and now increased volatility would further hurt such models.

The influence of Nakshatra Swati would remain in force till November 6^th which is Friday of this week. We had mentioned previously October 20^th and November 2^nd have close inter-relation and it would be a wealth destructive phase for the markets, so we are still broadly bearish on the markets, the price bounce should be used as an exit opportunity.

 

The first day of the week – November 1, 2021 – Monday.

As per the position of Sun and Moon, Tithi is calculated and as per the calculation Today, it is auspicious Ekadashi or Tithi-11^th, it has slightly bearish influence. The astronomical position is slightly negative, and momentum or price movement would be quick, it will not give time for the traders to execute calculated action. The aspect between planet Mercury 120 Jupiter will have a strong influence on the masses and would be seen in the price movement of high beta counters, and especially the natural resource sector along with specific metal stocks. recovery in prices in the post 13.40 is expected. STBT is recommended.

Negative – LIC house, Eicher Motor, Asian Paints, Tata Chem, and Tata Steel.

Positive Coal India, Ramco Cem, ICICI pru, Godrej Ind, Bharti, and Bajaj Auto.  

2^nd Day, November 2, 2021- Tuesday

The aspect between Mercury 90 Pluto, activates negative forces & influences, manmade or natural calamities destroy lives and wealth both. The opening session would be volatile, and the confusing signals on charts would make traders more restless, avoid hasty decisions, as markets will test patience. We suggest staying away from all the confusion and participating after clarity would be more important. Nakshatra Uttara gives nice momentum trades, and especially low-risk & high reward positive breakouts.

as mentioned – our view is to avoid position trades and stick to jobbing or intraday trades, small positions. No overnight positions are recommended.

 

3^rd Day, November 3, 2021 – Wednesday

A positive opening is a negative or a warning signal for the traders, and it means making money would be difficult today. GAP opening stocks would be the most interesting stocks to watch, after 9.45 to 10.15 most important intraday signals would get triggered on the hourly charts, we would recommend getting those signals to give 2^nd confirmation either today or maybe next week Monday and only then participate those signals. Delayed participation or action would give a huge advantage of clarity to the position traders, who can make a lot of money in a few days. The most important trigger would be strong hand operator news, looking for a genuine market flow or reading reports for authentic information, it will give the best probable results in the next 4 months. A flow needs to be understood and put up in an actionable plan, today it is best for such action.

Position – Maruti, Cummins, Tata Communication, BASF, Bharat Forge, TVS Motor, Sundaram Finance,  and Infosys Ltd.

 

All the Diwali Days including Muhurat day are very bad from the Astronomical point of view, and we would not be giving any Diwali Muhurat investment ideas to our clients.

We would not be doing any transactions on the Muhurat trading day.

 

Thank You

Futurologist

 

November 1st to November 6th Weekly TimeMap

 

As per basic principles of DOW theory, in the attached chart – strong hands have to protect 17265 and 17368 levels, and many institutional position traders will have MTM adjusted to these 2 levels, breaking of these levels would mean positions will require additional margins, or squared up, which could trigger the cascading effects. My observation generally such levels get defended once or twice. Looking at the current scenario bright chances that the levels would get broken and the probability is high that  16750 would get tested. Currently, there is no sell signal triggered on the weekly charts, so the main trend remains positive, breaking of 17368 will trigger trend reversal on the daily chart, and below 17265 confirmation of the first signal. An increase in volatility would mean markets will move further down, as it would need to get adjusted.  

 

on the TimeMap – last week 28^th October gave a perfect fall on the charts, which not only disturbed the market sentiment but most algo models went in major drawdown, and now increased volatility would further hurt such models.

The influence of Nakshatra Swati would remain in force till November 6^th which is Friday of this week. We had mentioned previously October 20^th and November 2^nd have close inter-relation and it would be a wealth destructive phase for the markets, so we are still broadly bearish on the markets, the price bounce should be used as an exit opportunity.

 

The first day of the week – November 1, 2021 – Monday.

As per the position of Sun and Moon, Tithi is calculated and as per the calculation Today, it is auspicious Ekadashi or Tithi-11^th, it has slightly bearish influence. The astronomical position is slightly negative, and momentum or price movement would be quick, it will not give time for the traders to execute calculated action. The aspect between planet Mercury 120 Jupiter will have a strong influence on the masses and would be seen in the price movement of high beta counters, and especially the natural resource sector along with specific metal stocks. recovery in prices in the post 13.40 is expected. STBT is recommended.

Negative – LIC house, Eicher Motor, Asian Paints, Tata Chem, and Tata Steel.

Positive Coal India, Ramco Cem, ICICI pru, Godrej Ind, Bharti, and Bajaj Auto.  

2^nd Day, November 2, 2021- Tuesday

The aspect between Mercury 90 Pluto, activates negative forces & influences, manmade or natural calamities destroy lives and wealth both. The opening session would be volatile, and the confusing signals on charts would make traders more restless, avoid hasty decisions, as markets will test patience. We suggest staying away from all the confusion and participating after clarity would be more important. Nakshatra Uttara gives nice momentum trades, and especially low-risk & high reward positive breakouts.

as mentioned – our view is to avoid position trades and stick to jobbing or intraday trades, small positions. No overnight positions are recommended.

 

3^rd Day, November 3, 2021 – Wednesday

A positive opening is a negative or a warning signal for the traders, and it means making money would be difficult today. GAP opening stocks would be the most interesting stocks to watch, after 9.45 to 10.15 most important intraday signals would get triggered on the hourly charts, we would recommend getting those signals to give 2^nd confirmation either today or maybe next week Monday and only then participate those signals. Delayed participation or action would give a huge advantage of clarity to the position traders, who can make a lot of money in a few days. The most important trigger would be strong hand operator news, looking for a genuine market flow or reading reports for authentic information, it will give the best probable results in the next 4 months. A flow needs to be understood and put up in an actionable plan, today it is best for such action.

Position – Maruti, Cummins, Tata Communication, BASF, Bharat Forge, TVS Motor, Sundaram Finance,  and Infosys Ltd.

 

All the Diwali Days including Muhurat day are very bad from the Astronomical point of view, and we would not be giving any Diwali Muhurat investment ideas to our clients.

We would not be doing any transactions on the Muhurat trading day.

 

Thank You

Futurologist

Weekly Oct 25 to 29th

 

Technically – The trend reversal on the daily chart has been confirmed, on the weekly chart, the reversal point is at 17310-17188. On the Line observation, 17245 becomes a crucial crossover for the trend to remain strong.

As everyone knows, I never like lines drawn on the charts, but just to show – Lines are to be drawn based on CT and CB basis, which might not necessarily be a high or low point on the charts. On the weekly chart, we have already reached 322 Fibonacci levels, which almost safe is for the monthly charts, which carry a significant amount of weight in my mind as a technical analyst.

In my opinion, as of now, no major pattern is developed on the charts, which needs urgent attention, but surely exposure trimming is recommended, below 75% is highly recommended, and 65% invested and 35% cash is ideal levels.

From the TimeCycle perspective, we have already seen big and wide volatility under the influence of Nakshatra Chitra, and any gaps developed under the influence of Nakshatra Chitra surely get filled very soon, which means within 18 weeks. Already on the daily charts, almost all the gaps got filled. As per expectation, sideways movement can last for another 3 to 6 months, and then we may see a directional movement. Chitra gave 500 point rise and 250 points fall within 14 days.

 Now SUN enters Nakshatra Swati – on the 23^rd. Which is considered the most Auspicious 14 days of the year to make long-term business commitments and also investment in the equity markets.

 

October 25^th, 2021: Monday

Tithi and the Nakshatra of the Moon – will give an extremely wide swift movement in the markets, the probability of a strong rise or positive pullback cannot be ruled out. Momentum breakout or consolidation breakouts give the finest results, aggressive participation and fast action will be an edge in today's trading, Gut feel or hunch trades give the best profits. Banking stocks would continue to give better performance, while technology and select retail stocks would attract the profit booking. high Beta counters like ICICI bank, HDFCbk will give big moves. TIME to watch 14.30 to 14.45 for the strong and rewarding signals on the 15-minute charts. STBT is highly recommended.

October 26, 2021: Tuesday: Difficult to make money today.

A gap down or a negative opening should not surprise traders. Tithi will give better rewards for the contrarian trade action. Tithi 6^th indicates, do not take things for granted and be alert, take 3^rd eye view and then enter the trade, delayed participation gives a better outcome. Moon Nakshatra Ardra gives big results, Nifty 50 showing positive movement and Nifty next 50 might attract selling pressure.

Infra companies are likely to witness some pressure, especially Adani Port is giving extreme negative numbers. Reliance is showing negativity. We believe while markets will give positive close from the opening levels, most investors would see more negative in the books. STBT should be continued even today.

October 27, 2021: Wednesday

Flat to the minor negative opening would be a very good signal for the bullish traders to get aggressive on the buy trades but very selectively. Tithi will change at 10.51, and actually few stocks would turn bullish after 11.15, watch them and take long positions, which can be carried over for tomorrow. Basically – Buy and Sell strategy would give a better result. Tithi is positively biased and favors bulls or long position holders. IT stocks will give a nice positive pull back, along with top 100 stocks. Positive closing is expected.

Most real economy stocks would attract profit booking, that is Auto, Cement, Textile, Chemical etc. While recovery positive positive divergence in Pharma would be seen.

October 28, 2021: Thursday

SUN in Nakshatra Swati, Moon in Nakshatra Pushya, and Thursday – GuruPushya Amrut Yog, As it was mentioned a few days back, the most auspicious day of the year, and maybe best in the past 2 and future 2 years, what we would come across, and so we as Ayan Analytics would advise initiating new business ideas, relationships, etc.  

TIME to watch after 12.50 and 13.25 we may see selling pressure in the markets. Investment is highly recommended, be slightly slow, and keep accumulating only strong high conviction ideas. BTST is recommended.

October 29, 2021: Friday

Ideally, markets should give higher opening and a small rise should get followed, after the initial rise, we might see selling pressure, but an overall positive view is maintained especially the Metal sector stocks would shine, and hog the limelight, PSU stocks would see big-ticket buying across the board. Buy trades would give much better profits. BTST is recommended, after TIME 14.10 aggressive short-covering and buying might push prices very positive momentum. 

 

Weekly October 11 to 14th

 

 

The Trail stop for the short-term position is 17260, breaking of it will indicate a minor corrective phase ahead. What is the probability it getting triggered or broken before the expiry of the October series, as per #TimeMap is above 58% to 65%.

We are entering in Chitra Nakshatra phase, volatility would expand, the next move SUN in Swati Nakshatra will be from October 23^rd to November 6^th, which is the best or most auspicious nakshatra or no.1 phase on #TimeMap to invest in the capital markets.

As it has been mentioned October 28^th is the best day or most Auspicious Day of the year.

Moon in Pushya and Sun in Swati on the previous occasion was October 31, 2018, November 2, 2015, and October 26^th, 2013.

above combination on Thursday was 04-11-2004 and 01-11-2007 on both occasions markets gave nominal negative close, but a positive move has occurred with 15 days' perspective.

The IT stocks or the sector is showing the more negative influence and Infra more clearly construction and manufacturing companies showing big positive results.

LT, BPCL, MANAPPURAM, ABFRL, SIEMENS, HAVELLS, WHIRLPOOL is coming as very positive stock.

 

Current planet positions are interestingly tricky, opportunities would spring in abundance, how to capture and use them depends on the individual's skillset.  

The week ahead, broadly speaking bias is slightly cautious, and we have been recommending equity exposure be reduced to 70% and 30% be kept in the liquid funds.

Day 1 – October 11, we are expecting a flat to negative opening and after initial volatility markets will witness buying support especially in the Capital goods sector, Banking stocks especially the PSU banks would witness a lot of positive flows. On the other hand Metals and Technology would see a little bit of selling pressure. Cement stocks can be the best and should give a nice jump from the intraday lows. in the opening session mean reversion systems would give excellent results. BTST in Auto and Cement recommended.

Day 2 – October 12, the Higher opening should not be a surprise, Tithi is positive gives wide movement and the Nakshatra of the moon is good for booking profits, so ideally rising tendency in the markets cannot be ruled out. the best strategy is to have market-neutral long-short baskets not only for today overall month of October, volatility, sector rotation and churning of the portfolio would give both side trading opportunities.

STBT is highly recommended.

Day 3 – October 13, Gap down opening cannot be ruled out. broadly we would recommend a sell and buy strategy for the day that would give better results. breakout failure would be the best pattern to trade. in case markets fall towards the end, do carry very selective BTST positions.

Day 4 – October 14, higher opening and a quick rise in prices due to aggressive follow-up buying cannot be ruled out. Traders can make the best intraday profits today. Moon is in multiple aspects with other planets, markets will be volatile, and would give nice trading opportunities.

 

 

Broadly as mentioned above slight pressure would be felt at the current levels, breaking of 17260 would indicate daily reversal with the target of 15750 to 15900 levels.  TimeMap from October 15^th indicates one of the highest risk zones for the bulls, and not only in India but the global markets.

 

Weekly October 2021 - 1st Week October 4 to 8th.

Nifty movement in the past 45 days has been amazing, and as we have been mentioning this the first time in the past 18 months, we felt sentiment in the are getting in the Euphoric mode. We have been cautious since 13500, kept booking profits, but every rise was followed by a small correction, but last 9 days practically 7 days big candles gave the confirmation. Such moves give an early exit to long position holders, as trail stops keep getting closer to the tops.

Technically – The upside target is achieved, on the Fibonacci levels, Nifty has nicely responded to 261-322 extension zones, and 17800 was the perfect level, and nifty even crossed above 18000 and corrected. Our past observation has been from 322 we should get a minimum 200 level on Fibo, which is 15300.  

on the Daily chart, the level of 17510 is buying point, and 17330 is the stop.

 

Tomorrow as per SGX nifty and #TimeMap markets are likely to open in positive and close in big positive, from Monday to Wednesday overall sentiment would be positive, and buying on big dips is highly recommended, on Thursday and Friday down sentiment is expected.

 

Nakshatra ‘Hasta’: – September 26^th to October 10^th.

This is the 13^th Nakshatra.

Symbol is Both Hands or Fist.

Deity is Savitar, The Sun God before Rise. 

Planet Lordship is Moon.

The position in the Zodiac Degrees Virgo 10 to 23.20 Degrees.

Sun in Nakshatra Hasta, is ruled by the Romantic planet MOON. Their personality is soft, loving and caring towards people around them. The metal structure is very receptive, allows people to intrude in their life, often open about many things, and yet they are talented, brainy, or shrewd in keeping secrets. Sensitive, emotional, and accommodating nature makes them vulnerable. Fanatic about being right or perfect, makes them keep changing their own decisions. Mercury Sign and Moon Nakshatra is like logic with foresight, they may not be creative but methodological with foresight and can be the best statisticians. Ability dissects everything makes them look at things in compartments, and being specific, detailing nature makes them the finest planners. Nobody can understand the risk the way Hasta people can.  

Negative or shadow side, soft, loving nature makes them delay harsh decisions, especially at higher levels. Receptive nature makes them their enemies as they are doubting own decision which they arrive at after over-analysis. Logical, specific, and yet compartmentalized Brain structure, outsiders find it difficult to connect with them, and often their statements are misunderstood, creating a rift, often colleagues look at them as a threat and cunning (often they are). Being logical during they over a period, become little rude, and come across as quarreling nature person. Over-analysis leads to paralysis and ultimately fails in execution. They are best when associated with someone, who acts once the decision is made.

The most wonderful and rewarding trait is ‘Patience’, a person who can show it and use it gets benefitted, the most. In stock markets, Delay can be fatal and beneficial, HASTA people have highly energized intuition, they are genetically blessed, the only factor is they should act instant. Changing decisions and lack of conviction in their ideas become the biggest hurdle in their life, and in-stock markets, that’s why September has been the worst-performing month, across the globe. 

The moment we talk of Patience the only technical indicator that comes to my mind is ADX, which has lag, and confirmation is needed.   

 

October 7, 2021 – Mars 0 Sun is a crucial aspect, IT index is showing negative movement. Thursday and Friday from the aspect view also looking negative.

 

On a short note – Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, looking optimistic, while Thursday and Friday looking bearish. We recommend bringing equity exposure around 70% or below and hold 30 to 35% cash and maybe we will have to wait for 6 to 8 months but wait for a classic opportunity.

Precisely from Wednesday 2^nd half, selling is highly recommended.